recently it was general election day in the UK after Rishi Sunak, the Prime minister as was, called an election six weeks ago.
Last night was an absolute nail-biter as Labour swept into power -in fact it wasn’t that exciting, since Labour’s win has been a foregone conclusion for months at this point. Of the 650 seats in Parliament, Labour took 412 leaving the Conservatives with only 121 seats, which is the fewest number of seats they’ve had in history. However, underneath the surface, this victory is not as straightforward as it seems. While the labour party has a huge majority in parliament, he only received about 34% of the popular vote. To put that in perspective, Jeremy Cornyn, the labour leader who was wiped out in the 2019 election by Boris Johnson, received 40% of the popular votes. Because of the electoral system, those votes did not turn into seats in Parliament. Worse still, Kier Starmer (the labour leader) has one of the lowest approval ratings of any prime minister entering office in history. It seems like the public are more against the conservatives than they are pro Labour. While the headline story of the night was a labour landslide, another landmark moment was the election of Nigel Farage to Parliament. Nigel Farage was one of the original architects of the Brexit campaign to leave the EU. His Party, called Reform UK won 5 seats - while at first this may seem minor, he actually received more votes than the Liberal Democrats who won 71 seats in parliament. Once again, because of the electoral system, this did not translate into seats in parliament. But they have demonstrated huge national momentum that consolidates the Brexit vote in the UK. Reform UK and the conservative party together got 38% of the vote share, showing that the right is still a major force in the UK, despite the electoral wipeout. Why is this important? It shows that four years after Brexit, even though the economy is far from perfect and the cost of living is high, there are still vast swathes of the British public who remained determined in their resolve to leave the European Union. So divisive was the issue, that Labour (who are full of remainers) chose to keep the prospect of closer ties with Europe out of their manifesto. Kier Starmer, a remainer himself, has been silent on the issue, since expressing pro-europeans opinions would likely have cost him votes to reform. Even the Lib Dems who have fiercely campaigned for a second referendum set EU membership as a goal for the longer term, and kick the can down the road rather than making it an issue of the campaign. Even though the British people are tired of the conservatives, Brexit is here to stay.
For example, the BBC had an article called “Why are so few politicians talking about Brexit?”. In the article, they said the following: “Both the Conservative and Labour parties have judged it to be against their interests to go strong on the issue. They believe people have made up their minds about it. Brexit dredges up divisions within their parties and alienates some voters, whatever the candidates say. Labour has chosen to avoid a fight with Tories about Brexit. It's done, says the party, and it's pragmatic to accept that. Labour is against re-joining the European Union, the single market or the customs union”. Even when the UK has made a huge swing to the left, Brexit remains a constant factor, regardless of whether Labour or conservatives are in power. It seems hat Nigel Farage’s party, although on the right of British politics, also took votes from many labour candidates, meaning that Kier Starmer is unlikely to suddenly become more radical in his pro-europeans views even after the election with the unpleasant prospect of Nigel Farage snapping at his heals. It looks like Britain is consolidating its position outside of Catholic Europe, as the Tarshish power of the latter days.
Thursday, 25 July 2024
The UK General Election, The french Election and the US Election.
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